Tennis Predictions
We love tennis. We love betting. We love trading. I'm sure anyone who ever tried to bet on tennis or trade on tennis matches thought about having a tennis predictions service and how it would help in tennis betting. Our aim is to provide a tennis prediction service that helps thousands of people in predicting ATP, WTA and all other possible professional tennis matches.
Why Tennis and Why Tennis Predictions?
Besides the love for the sport, tennis is really an ideal sport for betting. First, it's not a team sports. Team sports like football soccer, basketball have teams involved: the lineups have a major factor on the outcome of the matches, so even if a very good team plays, if the best players are left on the bench, there is a chance that the soccer prediction goes wrong. Secondly, most of these sports are not (or not always) played in an elimination format. A league will produce a fair result most of the time, but it's harder to predict a single match.
In tennis, we don't have these. Tennis matches are played by only one player (if we talk about singles, which is the majority of important matches), and they are in a knockout format. As a result, players need to give their best and win every match and it's only that one player that has the chance win it. Both are equally important and both make our life of creating profitable tennis predictions easier.
Tennis Betting Tips
If you're looking to bet on tennis, you probably already have a good knowledge of the sport. If you're a trader, you probably also know the trends in a tennis match. Still, the world of tennis is not just about Roger Federer or Rafael Nadal. There are hundreds of players you can bet on and, especially for the lesser known player everyone needs a some help. Ideally, a tennis prediction system that works well (we'll get back to what well means soon), would be the best. But what makes a tennis betting system, a tennis prediction software or service good?
What makes a good tennis prediction service?
A lot of things, but mainly: profitability. Obviously, the most important thing we look for in a betting system is that the system, or in this case, the tennis prediction system is profitable. Other than that there are other factors too: certainty, coverage, notifications, credibility, security, etc. Let's look at these.
Profit
Profit can be achieved with good selection of matches and great tips. One of the few advantages of a bettor against the bookmaker is that he can choose the matches he wants the play. As there are hundreds of tennis matches every day, and bookmakers cover the majority of them, it's a tough question asked: which of these tennis matches should be predicted. Ideally, a system or tipster provides a weight for each match: should it be played or not and what's the certainty in the prediction? In a system where all matches are predicted (like ours), the best way to express our certainty is the give a probability for each tennis tip. This probability tell a lot of things and can be used in a lot of ways, but only you know the context, namely how give probability matches did in the past. Like if a tipster tells you that a tennis player has a 67% chance to win the match, how would you know if his previous predictions around this number came true 67% of the time? You'd need some kind of measurement. This measurement is called accuracy: how close the predicted probabilities are to real success (strike) rate.
Probability
As mentioned, we provide a probability for each tennis prediction. This probability describes the likelihood of the betting tip to be successful. The higher the probability, the better the tennis tip. Any good betting system should provide a probability for each tennis prediction because of a simple reason: not all matches, in our case not all tennis matches, can be predicted equally. With an example, when good and in-form players meet lesser opponents, it's easier to predict the outcome of the match compared to when two similar opponents meet.
When measuring profit, we can't avoid talking of the importance of odds. Ideally, we can predict high odds matches with high probability. It sounds good, but it's not that easy. For high odds, probabilities are likely to be lower, for lower odds, probability is generally higher. We call the case when odds and probability is both relatively high a value bet and measure how good the tips is with bet value. Bet value simply equals odds * probability.
Coverage
Profit comes from good tips, but another essential part of the equation is the number of tips. We at TopTennisTips provide tennis match predictions for all professional matches, from ATP and WTA to ITF. This is usually a few of hundred matches per day. We the number of matches and profit known, one can calculate the yield and ROI (we don't go into the detailed calculation of these here).
Notifications
No matter how good the tennis betting tips are, if they don't get to you, they don't help much. We implemented both an email based prediction notification system for the website users and iOS/Android notifications for the app users. You can fine-tune the frequency of prediction notifications from instant notifications to once a day. Also, you can set the parameters for minimum and maximum odds and probabilities you want to receive.
Backtest
To see how our system performs, you can take a look at backtest page. In short, it shows how the current model would have performed over the past period. There are tons of parameters (filters) you can set, basically you can create your tennis betting strategy.
Not everyone is equal: not everyone can or wants to risk the same and not everyone has the same patience. No matter if you're a low risk person or want to take high risk, the Backtest will show you what could have been achieved in the past. Although past performance is not an indicator of future results, this tool still helps you to define the way you can do tennis betting.
Security
In order to achieve the highest possible security, we are using large and trustworthy partners for login, payments and subscription. We don't store your sensitive data, like your username and password are only stored at our partners Facebook, Google and Paypal and the whole authentication is handed by them. Similarly, we teamed with Clickbank, who process payments with cards and handle all payment and subscription related issues you can have.
How are tennis tips created?
We mentioned a lot of characteristics of good tennis predictions, but how are they created? At this point you're probably aware that we use Artificial Intelligence (Machine Learning). Indeed, we trained a model and provide tennis predictions with this model. This ensures the highest possible accuracy of each tennis prediction and it also allows us to cover (almost) all tennis matches. (The only tennis matches we don't cover are usually those where one of the players doesn't have enough history.)
How is Artificial Intelligence (AI) used to predict tennis matches?
First, we pre-process a lot of (around 400.000) historical tennis matches. Based on predefined rules we transform the statistics from these matches into so called features which then later can be used by classification (this is called Feature extraction).
In the next step we train a model using these features. The model created this we is ready to consume fixtures, so we get data for upcoming matches and ask the model about the most possible outcome. Odds don't play any role during these phases, they're only used for informational purposes, and added later along with dates. Bet value (which is similar to to more known Expected Value, BV = EV + 1), as being derived from odds and probabilities, is also something that isn't part of the classification process.
How to use our tennis prediction service?
There are numerous ways to use it. Some use it as a sole source, others start from TTT tennis predictions and use their own knowledge to pick selection, or the opposite, they use TTT to double-check their already existing tips. Either way backtest is a very useful tool to see the profitability of the service. As described on our How does it work page, it's vital that you first experiment with filters on the backtest page and then, only then proceed with tests and live tipping.
What tennis betting markets do we cover?
We currently provide tennis betting tips for 4 markets: match winner (home/away, moneyline), set handicap, game handicap and total games over/under.
